How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is RC Kouba, at 41.1%. The other outcomes represent 58.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.1% · Draw: 25.8% · Away win: 41.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hussein Dey 1568; RC Kouba 1720. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Hussein Dey
Elo 1568
1
-
2
RC Kouba
Elo 1720
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-152
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Hussein Dey1568
RC Kouba1720
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Hussein Dey
0Draws
4RC Kouba
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
@ 3.25
Draw
26%
@ 2.76
Away
41%
@ 2.24
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 2.18
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.52
No
47%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.26
No
27%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
@ 4.16
Draw
51%
@ 1.79
Away
31%
@ 3.09
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.62
No
41%
HT Over 1.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
@ 1.58
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.