How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is MC Saida, at 37.9%. The other outcomes represent 62.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.9% · Draw: 33% · Away win: 29%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: MC Saida 1525; ASM Oran 1636. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
MC Saida
Elo 1525
1
-
0
ASM Oran
Elo 1636
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-111
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
MC Saida1525
ASM Oran1636
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0MC Saida
0Draws
4ASM Oran
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
@ 2.16
Draw
33%
@ 2.81
Away
29%
@ 3.37
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.25
No
36%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
@ 1.54
No
36%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
@ 2.99
Draw
50%
@ 1.80
Away
25%
@ 4.29
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.60
No
41%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
@ 1.58
No
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 3.5 Goals
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.