How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is WA Mostaganem, at 46.7%. The other outcomes represent 53.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.7% · Draw: 26.9% · Away win: 26.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: WA Mostaganem 1503; Tiaret 1514. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
WA Mostaganem
Elo 1503
3
-
1
Tiaret
Elo 1514
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-12
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
WA Mostaganem1503
Tiaret1514
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4WA Mostaganem
0Draws
0Tiaret
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
@ 1.92
Draw
27%
@ 3.03
Away
26%
@ 3.77
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.98
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.20
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.70
No
45%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
@ 2.63
Draw
51%
@ 1.92
Away
16%
@ 4.56
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
@ 1.50
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
@ 1.42
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.