How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Betis, at 60.1%. The other outcomes represent 39.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.1% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 21.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Real Betis 2089; AD Ceuta FC 1763. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 18:00
Real Betis
Elo 2089
vs
AD Ceuta FC
Elo 1763
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+326
Elo rating comparison
Real Betis2089
AD Ceuta FC1763
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Real Betis
—Draws
—AD Ceuta FC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
Home
60%
Draw
18%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
34%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.