How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Nordsjaelland, at 46.7%. The other outcomes represent 53.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.3% · Draw: 23% · Away win: 46.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Malmo FF 1943; FC Nordsjaelland 2081. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Malmo FF
Elo 1943
3
-
0
FC Nordsjaelland
Elo 2081
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-139
Elo rating comparison
Malmo FF1943
FC Nordsjaelland2081
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Malmo FF
—Draws
—FC Nordsjaelland
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
42%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.