How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FSV Mainz 05, at 67.7%. The other outcomes represent 32.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.2% · Draw: 16.1% · Away win: 67.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Waldhof Mannheim 1739; FSV Mainz 05 2078. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Waldhof Mannheim
Elo 1739
0
-
3
FSV Mainz 05
Elo 2078
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-339
Elo rating comparison
Waldhof Mannheim1739
FSV Mainz 052078
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Waldhof Mannheim
—Draws
—FSV Mainz 05
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
CORRECT
Home
16%
Draw
16%
Away
68%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
Draw
33%
Away
50%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.