How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Degerfors IF, at 50.0%. The other outcomes represent 50.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.6% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 50%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: IK brage 1677; Degerfors IF 1823. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
IK brage
Elo 1677
1
-
1
Degerfors IF
Elo 1823
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-146
Elo rating comparison
IK brage1677
Degerfors IF1823
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—IK brage
—Draws
—Degerfors IF
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
23%
Away
50%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
41%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.