How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is 1. FC Köln, at 51.8%. The other outcomes represent 48.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30% · Draw: 18.2% · Away win: 51.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Viktoria Köln 1846; 1. FC Köln 1946. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
FC Viktoria Köln
Elo 1846
2
-
2
1. FC Köln
Elo 1946
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-100
Elo rating comparison
FC Viktoria Köln1846
1. FC Köln1946
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Viktoria Köln
—Draws
—1. FC Köln
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
@ 4.55
Draw
18%
@ 4.81
Away
52%
@ 1.49
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.39
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.15
No
37%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
@ 4.38
Draw
32%
@ 2.77
Away
37%
@ 1.89
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.16
No
17%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.83
No
32%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.05
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.29
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.80
No
42%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.