How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC ST. Gallen, at 70.5%. The other outcomes represent 29.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.7% · Draw: 12.8% · Away win: 70.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Brühl 1648; FC ST. Gallen 1957. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Brühl
Elo 1648
3
-
3
FC ST. Gallen
Elo 1957
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-309
Elo rating comparison
Brühl1648
FC ST. Gallen1957
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Brühl
—Draws
—FC ST. Gallen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
WRONG
Home
17%
Draw
13%
Away
71%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
30%
Away
52%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.