How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is M'saken, at 50.1%. The other outcomes represent 49.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.1% · Draw: 28.5% · Away win: 21.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: M'saken 1497; CS Chebba 1477. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
M'saken
Elo 1497
0
-
0
CS Chebba
Elo 1477
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+20
H2H (5)
0H
1D
4A
Elo rating comparison
M'saken1497
CS Chebba1477
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0M'saken
1Draws
4CS Chebba
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
@ 1.59
Draw
28%
@ 3.25
Away
21%
@ 5.56
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 2.36
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.09
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 2.08
No
48%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
@ 2.25
Draw
47%
@ 1.94
Away
20%
@ 6.17
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
@ 1.52
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
@ 1.46
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
@ 2.37
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.