How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stade Brestois 29, at 43.3%. The other outcomes represent 56.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.3% · Draw: 16.8% · Away win: 39.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stade Brestois 29 1852; Monza 1838. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:00
Stade Brestois 29
Elo 1852
2
-
2
Monza
Elo 1838
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+14
Elo rating comparison
Stade Brestois 291852
Monza1838
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Stade Brestois 29
—Draws
—Monza
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
@ 2.24
Draw
17%
@ 3.62
Away
40%
@ 2.76
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.53
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.40
No
41%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.59
No
39%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
@ 2.79
Draw
39%
@ 2.27
Away
30%
@ 3.26
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.28
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
@ 1.18
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.64
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.