How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hamburger SV, at 38.4%. The other outcomes represent 61.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.4% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 37%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hamburger SV 1925; FC Copenhagen 2202. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:30
Hamburger SV
Elo 1925
2
-
0
FC Copenhagen
Elo 2202
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-277
Elo rating comparison
Hamburger SV1925
FC Copenhagen2202
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hamburger SV
—Draws
—FC Copenhagen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
@ 2.46
Draw
25%
@ 3.63
Away
37%
@ 2.54
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
@ 1.60
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.48
No
47%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
@ 1.51
No
35%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
@ 2.98
Draw
40%
@ 2.24
Away
34%
@ 3.07
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
@ 1.31
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.21
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 1.74
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.