How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kalaâ Sport, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.2% · Draw: 27.7% · Away win: 30.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kalaâ Sport 1416; JS Kairouanaise 1584. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:00
Kalaâ Sport
Elo 1416
0
-
1
JS Kairouanaise
Elo 1584
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-168
Elo rating comparison
Kalaâ Sport1416
JS Kairouanaise1584
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Kalaâ Sport
—Draws
—JS Kairouanaise
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
@ 2.48
Draw
28%
@ 3.19
Away
30%
@ 2.62
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 1.90
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.38
No
40%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.42
No
31%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
@ 3.22
Draw
46%
@ 2.01
Away
32%
@ 3.41
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
@ 1.45
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
@ 1.40
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.