How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Redeyef, at 42.7%. The other outcomes represent 57.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.7% · Draw: 30% · Away win: 27.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Redeyef 1497; Bouchamma 1519. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:00
Redeyef
Elo 1497
3
-
0
Bouchamma
Elo 1519
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-22
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Redeyef1497
Bouchamma1519
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Redeyef
0Draws
0Bouchamma
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
Draw
30%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
41%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.