How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stade Gabesien, at 63.6%. The other outcomes represent 36.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63.6% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 15.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stade Gabesien 1623; Moknine 1444. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:00
Stade Gabesien
Elo 1623
0
-
0
Moknine
Elo 1444
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+179
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Stade Gabesien1623
Moknine1444
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Stade Gabesien
4Draws
0Moknine
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
WRONG
Home
64%
@ 1.34
Draw
21%
@ 4.20
Away
15%
@ 8.86
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.05
No
7%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
@ 1.91
Draw
37%
@ 2.14
Away
13%
@ 9.25
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.47
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.38
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.