How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Molde, at 62.9%. The other outcomes represent 37.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.9% · Draw: 17.2% · Away win: 20%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Molde 1996; Kristiansund BK 1814. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:30
Molde
Elo 1996
3
-
0
Kristiansund BK
Elo 1814
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+182
H2H (7)
2H
1D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Molde1996
Kristiansund BK1814
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Molde
1Draws
4Kristiansund BK
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
17%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
33%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.