How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Raufoss, at 56.0%. The other outcomes represent 44.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56% · Draw: 17.8% · Away win: 26.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Raufoss 1648; Start 1826. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–5. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NM Cupen · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 15:00
Raufoss
Elo 1648
1
-
5
Start
Elo 1826
FT
HT 1-3
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-178
Elo rating comparison
Raufoss1648
Start1826
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Raufoss
—Draws
—Start
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
WRONG
Home
56%
Draw
18%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
43%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.