How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shabab Al Sahel, at 46.5%. The other outcomes represent 53.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.5% · Draw: 29.4% · Away win: 24.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Shabab Al Sahel 1557; Tadamon Sour 1456. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 12:00
Shabab Al Sahel
Elo 1557
0
-
1
Tadamon Sour
Elo 1456
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+101
Elo rating comparison
Shabab Al Sahel1557
Tadamon Sour1456
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Shabab Al Sahel
—Draws
—Tadamon Sour
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
29%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
40%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.