How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Jwaaya FC, at 61.0%. The other outcomes represent 39.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61% · Draw: 28.1% · Away win: 10.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Jwaaya FC 1637; Al Mabarrah 1421. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 13:30
Jwaaya FC
Elo 1637
3
-
0
Al Mabarrah
Elo 1421
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+216
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Jwaaya FC1637
Al Mabarrah1421
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Jwaaya FC
0Draws
0Al Mabarrah
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
Draw
28%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
36%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.