How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Germany U19, at 69.6%. The other outcomes represent 30.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.6% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 12.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Germany U19 1727; Czech Republic U19 1613. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 09:00
Germany U19
Elo 1727
1
-
1
Czech Republic U19
Elo 1613
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+114
Elo rating comparison
Germany U191727
Czech Republic U191613
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Germany U19
—Draws
—Czech Republic U19
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
WRONG
Home
70%
Draw
18%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
38%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.