How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is City London, at 44.2%. The other outcomes represent 55.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.2% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 28.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: City London 1511; PSTC Procopense 1462. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Paranaense - 3 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:30
City London
Elo 1511
1
-
0
PSTC Procopense
Elo 1462
FT
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+49
H2H (8)
4H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
City London1511
PSTC Procopense1462
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4City London
0Draws
4PSTC Procopense
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
27%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
44%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.