How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Brazil U20, at 48.0%. The other outcomes represent 52.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48% · Draw: 31.8% · Away win: 20.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Brazil U20 1676; Mexico U20 1691. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 09:00
Brazil U20
Elo 1676
4
-
0
Mexico U20
Elo 1691
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-14
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Brazil U201676
Mexico U201691
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Brazil U20
1Draws
0Mexico U20
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
@ 1.88
Draw
32%
@ 3.56
Away
20%
@ 3.55
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.63
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.21
No
16%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 1.79
No
48%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
@ 2.44
Draw
40%
@ 2.26
Away
22%
@ 4.12
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
@ 1.31
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.20
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.70
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.