How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Finland U18, at 62.4%. The other outcomes represent 37.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.4% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 14.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Finland U18 1546; Wales U18 1484. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 09:00
Finland U18
Elo 1546
2
-
0
Wales U18
Elo 1484
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+63
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Finland U181546
Wales U181484
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Finland U18
0Draws
0Wales U18
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
62%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
34%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.