How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Romania U18, at 43.7%. The other outcomes represent 56.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.1% · Draw: 23.2% · Away win: 43.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Uzbekistan U18 1502; Romania U18 1535. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 16:00
Uzbekistan U18
Elo 1502
0
-
1
Romania U18
Elo 1535
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-32
Elo rating comparison
Uzbekistan U181502
Romania U181535
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Uzbekistan U18
—Draws
—Romania U18
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
Draw
40%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.