How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is LDF, at 65.2%. The other outcomes represent 34.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.2% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 13.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: LDF 1697; Manonyane 1465. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 07:45
LDF
Elo 1697
0
-
0
Manonyane
Elo 1465
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
5D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+232
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
LDF1697
Manonyane1465
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3LDF
0Draws
0Manonyane
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
WRONG
Home
65%
Draw
21%
Away
13%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
WRONG
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
41%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.