How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Zaglebie Lubin, at 54.4%. The other outcomes represent 45.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.4% · Draw: 25.2% · Away win: 20.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Zaglebie Lubin 1820; Miedz Legnica 1703. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 09:00
Zaglebie Lubin
Elo 1820
1
-
0
Miedz Legnica
Elo 1703
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+117
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Zaglebie Lubin1820
Miedz Legnica1703
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Zaglebie Lubin
0Draws
0Miedz Legnica
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
@ 1.75
Draw
25%
@ 3.52
Away
20%
@ 4.07
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
@ 1.79
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.19
No
16%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
@ 2.36
Draw
44%
@ 2.19
Away
15%
@ 4.60
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.37
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.28
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.