How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FK Zalgiris Vilnius, at 48.1%. The other outcomes represent 51.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.1% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 29%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1888; Panevėžys 1868. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 10:00
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Elo 1888
0
-
2
Panevėžys
Elo 1868
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+20
H2H (10)
4H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1888
Panevėžys1868
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0Draws
6Panevėžys
10 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
@ 1.84
Draw
23%
@ 3.75
Away
29%
@ 3.46
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
@ 1.52
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
@ 1.25
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.83
No
47%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
@ 2.39
Draw
41%
@ 2.36
Away
24%
@ 3.87
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
@ 1.27
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.15
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.57
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.