How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Schalke 04, at 63.8%. The other outcomes represent 36.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17% · Draw: 19.2% · Away win: 63.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Austria Lustenau 1796; FC Schalke 04 1960. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Austria Lustenau
Elo 1796
0
-
1
FC Schalke 04
Elo 1960
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-164
Elo rating comparison
Austria Lustenau1796
FC Schalke 041960
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Austria Lustenau
—Draws
—FC Schalke 04
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
@ 6.29
Draw
19%
@ 4.43
Away
64%
@ 1.42
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.10
No
20%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
@ 5.99
Draw
43%
@ 2.48
Away
34%
@ 1.85
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
@ 1.26
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
@ 1.14
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
@ 1.55
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.