How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Montego Bay United, at 66.7%. The other outcomes represent 33.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 66.7% · Draw: 19.4% · Away win: 13.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Montego Bay United 1702; Dunbeholden 1488. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 20:30
Montego Bay United
Elo 1702
1
-
0
Dunbeholden
Elo 1488
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+214
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Montego Bay United1702
Dunbeholden1488
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Montego Bay United
0Draws
0Dunbeholden
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
CORRECT
Home
67%
@ 1.27
Draw
19%
@ 4.87
Away
14%
@ 9.15
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.04
No
7%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Half-Time Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
58%
@ 1.75
Draw
32%
@ 2.43
Away
10%
@ 8.17
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
@ 1.32
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
87%
@ 1.20
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.70
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.