How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Racing United, at 38.3%. The other outcomes represent 61.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.5% · Draw: 28.1% · Away win: 38.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Molynes United 1521; Racing United 1624. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–6. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 22:00
Molynes United
Elo 1521
0
-
6
Racing United
Elo 1624
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-103
H2H (5)
4H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Molynes United1521
Racing United1624
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Molynes United
0Draws
1Racing United
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
34%
@ 2.52
Draw
28%
@ 3.18
Away
38%
@ 2.57
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
@ 1.66
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.42
No
47%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.43
No
31%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
@ 3.11
Draw
42%
@ 2.12
Away
32%
@ 3.18
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.37
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
@ 1.27
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
@ 1.90
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.