How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Club America, at 48.0%. The other outcomes represent 52.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.8% · Draw: 20.3% · Away win: 48%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Guadalajara Chivas 1753; Club America 1785. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 01:10
Guadalajara Chivas
Elo 1753
2
-
0
Club America
Elo 1785
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-32
H2H (5)
1H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Guadalajara Chivas1753
Club America1785
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Guadalajara Chivas
4Draws
0Club America
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
@ 3.12
Draw
20%
@ 3.78
Away
48%
@ 2.04
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.53
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
@ 1.33
No
36%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
@ 3.56
Draw
39%
@ 2.33
Away
35%
@ 2.53
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.26
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.15
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
@ 1.61
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.