IFK Norrkoping vs Kalmar FF

Friendlies Clubs · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 · 11:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is IFK Norrkoping, at 50.9%. The other outcomes represent 49.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 50.9% · Draw: 22.1% · Away win: 27%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: IFK Norrkoping 1962; Kalmar FF 1844. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Friendlies Clubs · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026 · 11:00
IFK Norrkoping
Elo 1962
0 - 0
Kalmar FF
Elo 1844
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W 0D 1L
Away Form (5)
0W 1D 4L
Elo Advantage
+119
H2H (2)
2H 0D 0A

Elo rating comparison

IFK Norrkoping1962
Kalmar FF1844

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

2IFK Norrkoping
0Draws
0Kalmar FF

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
51% conf. WRONG
Home
51%
@ 2.40
Draw
22%
@ 4.08
Away
27%
@ 2.17
Both Teams to Score
53% conf. WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.29
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf. WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf. WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.51
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf. WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
35% conf. CORRECT
Home
35%
@ 2.77
Draw
35%
@ 2.69
Away
29%
@ 2.56
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf. CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf. WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf. CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf. WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf. WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.29
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf. CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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