How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Russia W, at 67.9%. The other outcomes represent 32.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.1% · Draw: 16% · Away win: 67.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: India W 1487; Russia W 1684. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Women · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 12:30
India W
Elo 1487
0
-
4
Russia W
Elo 1684
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-197
Elo rating comparison
India W1487
Russia W1684
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—India W
—Draws
—Russia W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
CORRECT
Home
16%
Draw
16%
Away
68%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
28%
Away
54%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.