How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Highlanders, at 48.1%. The other outcomes represent 51.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.7% · Draw: 24.2% · Away win: 48.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Amawele 1475; Highlanders 1636. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Amawele
Elo 1475
1
-
4
Highlanders
Elo 1636
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-161
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Amawele1475
Highlanders1636
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Amawele
0Draws
1Highlanders
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
24%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
18%
Draw
42%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.