How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nsingizini Hotspurs, at 59.4%. The other outcomes represent 40.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.4% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 16.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nsingizini Hotspurs 1751; Manzini Sea Birds 1620. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Nsingizini Hotspurs
Elo 1751
1
-
0
Manzini Sea Birds
Elo 1620
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Elo Advantage
+131
H2H (5)
1H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Nsingizini Hotspurs1751
Manzini Sea Birds1620
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Nsingizini Hotspurs
4Draws
0Manzini Sea Birds
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
59%
Draw
24%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
43%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.