How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SONABEL, at 55.9%. The other outcomes represent 44.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.9% · Draw: 31.1% · Away win: 13%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SONABEL 1530; Comoé 1478. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 15:30
SONABEL
Elo 1530
2
-
0
Comoé
Elo 1478
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+52
Elo rating comparison
SONABEL1530
Comoé1478
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—SONABEL
—Draws
—Comoé
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
56%
@ 2.45
Draw
31%
@ 2.76
Away
13%
@ 2.89
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
@ 2.21
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.32
No
15%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
@ 3.29
Draw
47%
@ 1.82
Away
15%
@ 3.80
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.58
No
38%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.56
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.