How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Young Buffaloes, at 46.1%. The other outcomes represent 53.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.1% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 26.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Young Buffaloes 1703; Moneni Pirates 1629. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:30
Young Buffaloes
Elo 1703
2
-
1
Moneni Pirates
Elo 1629
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+74
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Young Buffaloes1703
Moneni Pirates1629
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Young Buffaloes
0Draws
2Moneni Pirates
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
27%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
41%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.