How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shabab Al Ordon, at 42.3%. The other outcomes represent 57.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.3% · Draw: 30.9% · Away win: 26.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Shabab Al Ordon 1568; Al Buqa'a 1465. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 15:00
Shabab Al Ordon
Elo 1568
0
-
3
Al Buqa'a
Elo 1465
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+103
H2H (5)
0H
5D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Shabab Al Ordon1568
Al Buqa'a1465
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Shabab Al Ordon
5Draws
0Al Buqa'a
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
31%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
37%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.