How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Khalidiya, at 41.0%. The other outcomes represent 59.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 34.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Khalidiya 1857; Muharraq 1832. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 16:00
Khalidiya
Elo 1857
2
-
2
Muharraq
Elo 1832
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+25
H2H (6)
2H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Khalidiya1857
Muharraq1832
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Khalidiya
0Draws
4Muharraq
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
24%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
40%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.