How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Wihdat, at 54.6%. The other outcomes represent 45.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.5% · Draw: 22.9% · Away win: 54.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Jazeera 1602; Al Wihdat 1808. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 16:30
Al Jazeera
Elo 1602
0
-
1
Al Wihdat
Elo 1808
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-205
H2H (6)
0H
4D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Al Jazeera1602
Al Wihdat1808
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Al Jazeera
4Draws
2Al Wihdat
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
Draw
23%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
16%
Draw
42%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
94% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
6%
No
94%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.