How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ararat-Armenia, at 64.1%. The other outcomes represent 35.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.7% · Draw: 18.2% · Away win: 64.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ararat 1588; Ararat-Armenia 1957. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 07:00
Ararat
Elo 1588
0
-
4
Ararat-Armenia
Elo 1957
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-369
H2H (6)
0H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Ararat1588
Ararat-Armenia1957
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ararat
0Draws
6Ararat-Armenia
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
18%
Away
64%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
42%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.