How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Oţelul, at 55.7%. The other outcomes represent 44.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.7% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 23.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Oţelul 1823; FC Bacau 1801. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 08:30
Oţelul
Elo 1823
1
-
1
FC Bacau
Elo 1801
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+22
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Oţelul1823
FC Bacau1801
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Oţelul
0Draws
0FC Bacau
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
WRONG
Home
56%
@ 1.55
Draw
21%
@ 3.91
Away
23%
@ 4.98
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.73
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.13
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
@ 2.08
Draw
44%
@ 2.32
Away
18%
@ 5.17
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
@ 1.31
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.19
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
@ 1.67
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.