How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Torpedo Zhodino, at 50.8%. The other outcomes represent 49.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.8% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 31.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Torpedo Zhodino 1867; Torpedo Moskva 1809. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:30
Torpedo Zhodino
Elo 1867
1
-
2
Torpedo Moskva
Elo 1809
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+58
Elo rating comparison
Torpedo Zhodino1867
Torpedo Moskva1809
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Torpedo Zhodino
—Draws
—Torpedo Moskva
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
@ 3.15
Draw
18%
@ 3.60
Away
31%
@ 2.09
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
@ 1.55
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
@ 1.67
No
36%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.32
No
46%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
@ 3.75
Draw
39%
@ 2.25
Away
30%
@ 2.75
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
@ 1.33
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.18
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.67
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.