How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Zoman, at 36.7%. The other outcomes represent 63.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.7% · Draw: 28.3% · Away win: 35%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Zoman 1495; Korhogo 1506. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 15:30
Zoman
Elo 1495
1
-
1
Korhogo
Elo 1506
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-11
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Zoman1495
Korhogo1506
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Zoman
2Draws
0Korhogo
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.33
Draw
28%
@ 2.88
Away
35%
@ 2.96
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.30
No
36%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.49
No
38%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
25%
@ 3.18
Draw
46%
@ 1.87
Away
29%
@ 3.85
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
58% conf.
Yes
58%
@ 1.51
No
42%
HT Over 1.5
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Over 1.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.50
No
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.