How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mostaganem, at 65.6%. The other outcomes represent 34.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.6% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 12.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mostaganem 1598; GC Mascara 1502. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 14:00
Mostaganem
Elo 1598
0
-
1
GC Mascara
Elo 1502
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+96
Elo rating comparison
Mostaganem1598
GC Mascara1502
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Mostaganem
—Draws
—GC Mascara
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
WRONG
Home
66%
Draw
22%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
WRONG
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
41%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.