How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al-Duhail SC, at 61.3%. The other outcomes represent 38.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.3% · Draw: 18.3% · Away win: 20.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al-Duhail SC 1775; Lusail City 1524. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Stars League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:45
Al-Duhail SC
Elo 1775
3
-
1
Lusail City
Elo 1524
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
+251
Elo rating comparison
Al-Duhail SC1775
Lusail City1524
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al-Duhail SC
—Draws
—Lusail City
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
Draw
18%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
36%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.