How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Volgar Astrakhan, at 50.3%. The other outcomes represent 49.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.3% · Draw: 27.5% · Away win: 22.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Volgar Astrakhan 1646; Dinamo Bryansk 1566. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League A - Division A Gold · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Volgar Astrakhan
Elo 1646
0
-
1
Dinamo Bryansk
Elo 1566
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+80
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Volgar Astrakhan1646
Dinamo Bryansk1566
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Volgar Astrakhan
4Draws
0Dinamo Bryansk
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
44%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.