How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Arabi, at 62.7%. The other outcomes represent 37.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.7% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 19.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Arabi 1778; Al Fahaheel 1568. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 14:30
Al Arabi
Elo 1778
2
-
0
Al Fahaheel
Elo 1568
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+210
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Arabi1778
Al Fahaheel1568
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Al Arabi
0Draws
0Al Fahaheel
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
37%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.