How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Qadsia, at 62.8%. The other outcomes represent 37.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.1% · Draw: 16.2% · Away win: 62.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Shabab 1390; Al Qadsia 1792. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 16:50
Al Shabab
Elo 1390
0
-
4
Al Qadsia
Elo 1792
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-401
Elo rating comparison
Al Shabab1390
Al Qadsia1792
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al Shabab
—Draws
—Al Qadsia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
16%
Away
63%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
Draw
30%
Away
53%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.