How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Coquimbo Unido, at 38.3%. The other outcomes represent 61.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.7% · Draw: 27% · Away win: 38.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Union La Calera 1625; Coquimbo Unido 1743. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Copa Chile · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 22:00
Union La Calera
Elo 1625
vs
Coquimbo Unido
Elo 1743
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-118
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Union La Calera1625
Coquimbo Unido1743
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Union La Calera
0Draws
2Coquimbo Unido
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
42%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.